The sages among us


In an effort to track down whether any of us are sages or not (OK, none of us are, really), I put together a handy-dandy chart to take the current standings after three weeks of MLS play and match that to the predicitons the UnitedMania staff made prior to the start of the season. 

The numbers in the boxes represent how far off the pick was. For instance, all of us predicted Chicago to finish in first, and since the Fire are in first now, we all receive a “0”. However, Chris and I were wildly off on current 2nd place New England, both of us predicting them for last, meaning we get a “5” because we’re five places off. Get the idea? The higher the score, the worse we’ve done at our picks. Mind you, this is early in the season, and it has to play out in full. 

So, with that being said, who’s more accurate so far? Let’s take a look:

Eastern Conference

Eastern Conference Mike Chris Martin Jimmy
Chicago 0 0 0 0
New England 2 5 4 5
DC United 0 0 1 1
Toronto FC 3 0 2 0
Kansas City 1 2 2 2
Columbus 4 4 4 3
New York Red Bulls 2 2 4 2

All of us are about equally accurate with our Eastern Conference picks as of play through the first three weeks of the season.

Chris has three of the top four placements in the east; Mike and I have two, and Martin one, though if you check and see who’s come closest with their picks, it is Mike. Chris is most off about New England and Columbus, while I am also most off with New England. Most of us have been fooled by the Revs and C-bus. 

Western Conference

Western Conference Mike Chris Martin Jimmy
Seattle Sounders FC 7 5 3 3
Chivas USA 1 3 1 1
Colorado 2 5 4 5
Real Salt Lake 2 2 1 2
San Jose 2 2 3 2
LA Galaxy 0 2 3 0
Houston 3 6 5 2
Dallas 1 5 2 1

The numbers are all going to be higher here simply because there are more teams in the west.

That said, only Mike and I have any idea of what we’re talking about in the west (except Mike’s pick of Seattle for last and my Colorado pick, though that was the most consistently off among the picks), though there is a tie for first (separated by goal differential) that would otherwise give three of us perfect scores and bump up another score better.

Mike got hammered by his last place Seattle prediction, but was otherwise pretty close on most of his other picks.

We were all pretty consistent in picking Chivas USA to do well, and LA and Dallas to be where they are, except for Chris on Dallas. And only two of us had a totally accurate pick – Mike and I with LA. 

Taking both conferences as a whole, I just beat out Mike for being the most accurate with our regular season picks as of now. As for the bottom of the UM rankings to date – hello Chris. 

Now for the totals (best to worst):

1. Jimmy    29

2. Mike     30

3. Martin   39

4. Chris    43

Now you know my secret motive for writing this, to toot my own horn. Nope, actually, I didn’t think I’d be this close to accurate given the fact that I likely didn’t watch as many games last year as they have. I’m trying to catch up this year. In the meantime, let us know how you’ve done in your picks so far. Who has surprised you, disappointed you, met your expectations so far this season?

In the meantime, we’ll check in again with this in a few weeks.